Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.021817 0.023423 0.025094 0.026966 0.029004 0.031160 0.033616
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019155 0.021469 0.024003 0.026992 0.030431 0.034277 0.038921
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017135 0.019822 0.022877 0.026625 0.031121 0.036371 0.043008
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015532 0.018423 0.021809 0.026095 0.031415 0.037851 0.046304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014390 0.017435 0.021093 0.025851 0.031932 0.039523 0.049837
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013433 0.016579 0.020442 0.025589 0.032341 0.041008 0.053151
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012486 0.015658 0.019630 0.025032 0.032285 0.041828 0.055571
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011988 0.015271 0.019459 0.025274 0.033263 0.044036 0.059988
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011440 0.014777 0.019109 0.025236 0.033829 0.045684 0.063693
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011073 0.014499 0.019019 0.025530 0.034851 0.048002 0.068496
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010553 0.013982 0.018572 0.025290 0.035082 0.049178 0.071651
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010121 0.013562 0.018232 0.025173 0.035469 0.050579 0.075218
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009639 0.013054 0.017749 0.024829 0.035506 0.051471 0.078070
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009316 0.012754 0.017544 0.024877 0.036128 0.053279 0.082509
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008904 0.012306 0.017105 0.024548 0.036146 0.054136 0.085429
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008477 0.011820 0.016585 0.024068 0.035894 0.054536 0.087588
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008153 0.011469 0.016248 0.023846 0.036030 0.055556 0.090863
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007846 0.011130 0.015913 0.023608 0.036120 0.056494 0.094045
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007488 0.010701 0.015424 0.023102 0.035742 0.056617 0.095756
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007337 0.010578 0.015393 0.023322 0.036569 0.058823 0.101421
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007131 0.010363 0.015212 0.023287 0.036960 0.060290 0.105807
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007009 0.010271 0.015218 0.023555 0.037875 0.062726 0.112214
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006781 0.010006 0.014939 0.023337 0.037936 0.063628 0.115690